Trend Analysis

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Directions: Provide a description of trends or patterns identified in the school's data analysis; this description should include three years of data (state and local data) when possible. Trend statements should be provided in the performance indicator areas (i.e., student achievement, student growth, and post-secondary and workforce readiness) and by disaggregated groups. For reference, a dashboard summarizing the school's performance in each indicator is embedded at the bottom of this page (note that this dashboard will not appear in the public UIP). Trend statements should include the direction of the trend, the measure/metric (e.g., the assessment or data source), specific data (e.g., percentages), content area, student population and a comparison point (e.g., state expectations, state average) to indicate why the trend is notable. All trend statements will populate in the data narrative. Trend analysis resources are available at the Performance Data Analysis page and through the School and District Dashboard. View the Quality Criteria for specific expectations in the Trend Analysis section. For systems with numbers that may not meet public reporting thresholds, the resource Data Analysis for Small Student Populations can provide direction for reporting trends.

Example Trend Statement:

"Middle school students are on a slight decline in English/Language Arts on CMAS-PARCC in 2015-17 (2015 = 727.6 MSS; 2016 = 726 MSS; 2017 = 724.1 MSS). This is a notable trend because it is declining and sits well below the state expectation (740.1 MSS) hovering around the 15th percentile. (Source: SPF/DPF)"


Students at Mountainside have demonstrated academic achievement reflecting a saw tooth pattern of achievement with spikes and troughs in all three grades assessed. This past year's PARCC/CMAS assessment achievement data all show decreases from grade level to grade level, but demonstrate relative stability with the same cohort of students longitudinally across assessment years. Student Achievement was below the school's goal of at or above the median score in 3rd, 4th, and 5th grade ELA and Math, and in 5th grade Science.

Trend Direction: Increasing then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Academic Achievement (Status)

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As compared to the state average measured by the CMAS assessment in science and the ACCESS for Mountainside's ELL population, student achievement is significantly higher than the state and district averages. Additionally, as measured by the ACCESS assessment, there is no gap between the achievement of students as members of student subgroups and the overall student population taking the assessment.

Trend Direction: - Performance Indicator Target: Academic Achievement (Status)

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Academic Growth as measured by the ACCESS indicates student growth significantly higher than the the state median of 50 percent. The median growth percentile for Mountainside's students is at 62.

Trend Direction: - Performance Indicator Target: Academic Growth

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Academic growth data also demonstrates a saw tooth pattern with spikes and troughs over the past three years in the two grade levels where growth information is available.Last year's PARCC/CMAS assessment growth data show decreases in the median growth percentile from the previous year. There was one grade level growth score that was above the school target of academic growth, 4th grade ELA, otherwise the other three cohort scores fell below the goal of at or above the state median score.

Trend Direction: Increasing then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Academic Growth

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Additional Trend Information

Directions: Use the box below to capture any additional information for your trend statements. E.g., if you noted patterns in your data that cannot be reported publicly due to small n-counts, indicate that here.



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