Trend Analysis

Checked Complete & Ready to submit


Directions: Provide a description of trends or patterns identified in the school's data analysis; this description should include three years of data (state and local data) when possible. Trend statements should be provided in the performance indicator areas (i.e., student achievement, student growth, and post-secondary and workforce readiness) and by disaggregated groups. For reference, a dashboard summarizing the school's performance in each indicator is embedded at the bottom of this page (note that this dashboard will not appear in the public UIP). Trend statements should include the direction of the trend, the measure/metric (e.g., the assessment or data source), specific data (e.g., percentages), content area, student population and a comparison point (e.g., state expectations, state average) to indicate why the trend is notable. All trend statements will populate in the data narrative. Trend analysis resources are available at the Performance Data Analysis page and through the School and District Dashboard. View the Quality Criteria for specific expectations in the Trend Analysis section. For systems with numbers that may not meet public reporting thresholds, the resource Data Analysis for Small Student Populations can provide direction for reporting trends.

Example Trend Statement:

"Middle school students are on a slight decline in English/Language Arts on CMAS-PARCC in 2015-17 (2015 = 727.6 MSS; 2016 = 726 MSS; 2017 = 724.1 MSS). This is a notable trend because it is declining and sits well below the state expectation (740.1 MSS) hovering around the 15th percentile. (Source: SPF/DPF)"


Our 4-year high school graduation rate is continued to increase year over year from 35.2% in 2014 to 69.6% in 2018. This is a notable trend because graduation rates continue to increase but still sit below state the expectation of 85%.

Trend Direction: Increasing - Performance Indicator Target: Student Graduation and Completion Plan

 Edit     Delete

Our overall 4-year matriculation rate has been inconsistent, going from 34.1% in 2015 to 23.3% in 2016, to 31% in 2017, to 35.4% in 2018, and finally to 41.7% in 2018. This is a notable trend because the rates of students matriculating changes greatly from year to year and while they are currently increasing, still sit well below the state expectation of 59.3%.

Trend Direction: Decreasing then increasing - Performance Indicator Target: Postsecondary & Workforce Readiness

 Edit     Delete

Our dropout rate has been inconsistent, increasing from 2014 to 2016 (2014= 1.4%, 2015= 2.7%, 2016= 7.4%) and then declining in 2017 to 4.6% and again in 2018 to 3.6%. Our dropout rate decreased again in 2019 to 0% This is notable because drop out rates have trended inconsistently and while currently declining. We now exceed the state expecation.

Trend Direction: Increasing then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Student Graduation and Completion Plan

 Edit     Delete

[ Add Additional Trend Statement ]




Additional Trend Information

Directions: Use the box below to capture any additional information for your trend statements. E.g., if you noted patterns in your data that cannot be reported publicly due to small n-counts, indicate that here.

--


 Save