Trend Analysis

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Directions: Provide a description of trends or patterns identified in the school's data analysis; this description should include three years of data (state and local data) when possible. Trend statements should be provided in the performance indicator areas (i.e., student achievement, student growth, and post-secondary and workforce readiness) and by disaggregated groups. For reference, a dashboard summarizing the school's performance in each indicator is embedded at the bottom of this page (note that this dashboard will not appear in the public UIP). Trend statements should include the direction of the trend, the measure/metric (e.g., the assessment or data source), specific data (e.g., percentages), content area, student population and a comparison point (e.g., state expectations, state average) to indicate why the trend is notable. All trend statements will populate in the data narrative. Trend analysis resources are available at the Performance Data Analysis page and through the School and District Dashboard. View the Quality Criteria for specific expectations in the Trend Analysis section. For systems with numbers that may not meet public reporting thresholds, the resource Data Analysis for Small Student Populations can provide direction for reporting trends.

Dos Rios "Students with Disabilities" received a "Does Not Meet" rating in the areas of English Language Arts and Math achievement on CMAS/PARCC spanning the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below the 50th percentile (1st) in both assessments. This is a notable trend, as this group of students demonstrates the widest achievement gap. (Source: 2016 SPF and 2017 SPF)

Trend Direction: Stable - Performance Indicator Target: Disaggregated Achievement

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Dos Rios students identified as needing an Individualized Education Plan (IEP) grew at the 36th percentile (2016) and 37th percentile (2017) in the area of English Language Arts growth on CMAS/PARCC between the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below the 50th percentile. This is not a notable trend, as Dos Rios students were consistent with district and state percentile ranks. (Source: 2016 SPF and 2017 SPFs)

Trend Direction: Stable - Performance Indicator Target: Disaggregated Growth

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Dos Rios students identified as needing an Individualized Education Plan (IEP) grew at the 36th percentile in 2016 and 30th percentile in 2017 in the area of Math growth on CMAS/PARCC between the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below the 50th percentile. This is a notable trend, as Dos Rios students were below the state percentile rank (41th and 42nd, respectfully). (Source: 2016 SPF and 2017 SPF)

Trend Direction: Stable then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Disaggregated Growth

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Dos Rios student behavior for non-state-reportable offenses has declined slightly in 2016, then increased slightly in 2017, while state-reportable offenses grew slightly in 2016, then significantly in 2017. This is not a notable trend, as there are many contributing variables to this trend, such as increased student enrollment and changes in administration. (Source: Local data source, Infinite Campus).

Trend Direction: Increasing - Performance Indicator Target: Student Behavior

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Dos Rios students identified as English Learners demonstrated lower achievement in the areas of English Language Arts, Math, and Science on CMAS across the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below their peers' performance when measured by achievement at Level 4 or above on CMAS (see Addendum, Tables 7 & 8). (Source: SchoolView; SchoolCity) This is a notable trend, as the discrepancy in the achievement gap is in the double-digits.

Trend Direction: Stable - Performance Indicator Target: English Language Development and Attainment

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Dos Rios students in 5th grade show declining achievement on the CMAS/PARCC ELA assessment (Level 4+) across the 2015-2017 school years (see Addendum, Table 3). This continues to be a notable trend because of continuing to demonstrate declining achievement over time. (Source: SchoolView; SchoolCity)

Trend Direction: Decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Academic Achievement (Status)

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Dos Rios students in 5th grade show declining achievement on the CMAS/PARCC Math assessment (Level 4+) across the 2015-2017 school years (see Addendum, Table 4). This continues to be a notable trend because of continuing to demonstrate declining achievement over time. (Source: SchoolView; SchoolCity)

Trend Direction: Decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Academic Achievement (Status)

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Dos Rios students identified as White decreased in growth from the 50th percentile in 2016 to the 28th percentile in 2017 in the area of ELA growth on CMAS/PARCC between the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below the 50th percentile. This is a notable trend, as Dos Rios White students were significantly below district and state percentile ranks (44th and 52nd, respectfully). (Source: 2016 SPF and 2017 SPF)

Trend Direction: Stable then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Disaggregated Growth

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Dos Rios students identified as White decreased in growth from the 56.5th percentile in 2016 to the 30th percentile in 2017 in the area of Math growth on CMAS/PARCC between the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below the 50th percentile. This is a notable trend, as Dos Rios White students were significantly below district and state percentile ranks (39th and 52nd, respectfully). (Source: 2016 SPF and 2017 SPF)

Trend Direction: Stable then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Disaggregated Growth

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Dos Rios students identified as Male decreased in growth from the 50th percentile in 2016 to the 28th percentile in 2017 in the area of ELA growth on CMAS/PARCC between the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below the 50th percentile. This is a notable trend, as Dos Rios Male students were significantly below district and state percentile ranks (40th and 47th, respectfully). (Source: 2016 SPF and 2017 SPF)

Trend Direction: Stable then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Disaggregated Growth

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Dos Rios students identified as Male decreased in growth from the 59th percentile in 2016 to the 33rd percentile in 2017 in the area of Math growth on CMAS/PARCC between the 2015-2017 school years, falling significantly below the 50th percentile. This is a notable trend, as Dos Rios Male students were significantly below district and state percentile ranks (42nd and 51st, respectfully). (Source: 2016 SPF and 2017 SPF)

Trend Direction: Stable then decreasing - Performance Indicator Target: Disaggregated Growth

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Additional Trend Information

Directions: Use the box below to capture any additional information for your trend statements. E.g., if you noted patterns in your data that cannot be reported publicly due to small n-counts, indicate that here.

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